Boise State
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 80.0866Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 A So Florida AME ( 9- 4, 84.7) 7-34 905 H Ea Wash 51-14 920 A Air Force MIDW ( 5- 8, 72.4) 49-37 927 H App St SUN ( 5- 8, 66.4) 47-14 1004 A Notre Dame IND (10- 2, 94.1) 7-28 1011 H New Mexico MIDW ( 9- 4, 77.5) 41-25 1018 H UNLV MIDW ( 8- 5, 75.5) 56-31 1024 A Nevada MIDW ( 4- 8, 71.4) 24- 3 1101 H Fresno St MIDW ( 8- 4, 74.4) 7-30 1115 A San Diego St MIDW ( 8- 5, 77.5) 7-17 1122 H Colorado St MIDW ( 2-11, 64.4) 49-21 1128 A Utah St MIDW ( 7- 7, 75.5) 25-24 1205 H UNLV MIDW ( 8- 5, 75.5) 38-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
828 A So Florida 7-34 -27 -10 -- -4.11
920 A Air Force 49-37 12 2 +++ 9.56
927 H App St 47-14 33 19 0.00
1004 A Notre Dame 7-28 -21 -19 0.00
1011 H New Mexico 41-25 16 8 +++ 6.16
1018 H UNLV 56-31 25 10 ++ 4.15
1024 A Nevada 24- 3 21 3 +++ 10.58
1101 H Fresno St 7-30 -23 11 --- -24.91
1115 A San Diego St 7-17 -10 -3 --- -7.28
1122 H Colorado St 49-21 28 21 0.00
1128 A Utah St 25-24 1 -1 1.71
1205 H UNLV 38-21 17 10 ++ 4.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1101 H Fresno St 7-30 -23 11 --- -24.91 1115 A San Diego St 7-17 -10 -3 --- -7.28 828 A So Florida 7-34 -27 -10 -- -4.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 A Air Force 49-37 12 2 +++ 9.56 1011 H New Mexico 41-25 16 8 +++ 6.16 1024 A Nevada 24- 3 21 3 +++ 10.58 1018 H UNLV 56-31 25 10 ++ 4.15 1205 H UNLV 38-21 17 10 ++ 4.15 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A So Florida ( 9- 4, 84.7) 7-34 -15.18 36.04 5.26 1.06 -5.27
3 A Air Force ( 5- 8, 72.4) 49-37 -27.51 23.71 5.26 1.06 61.56
3 H App St ( 5- 8, 66.4) 47-14 -33.48 17.74 -5.26 1.06 26.52
3 A Notre Dame (10- 2, 94.1) 7-28 -5.82 45.40 5.26 1.06 -0.30
3 H New Mexico ( 9- 4, 77.5) 41-25 -22.39 28.83 -5.26 1.06 50.09
3 H UNLV ( 8- 5, 75.5) 56-31 -24.41 26.81 -5.26 1.06 45.80
3 A Nevada ( 4- 8, 71.4) 24- 3 -28.49 22.73 5.26 1.06 59.47
3 H Fresno St ( 8- 4, 74.4) 7-30 -25.47 25.75 -5.26 1.06 -16.32
3 A San Diego St ( 8- 5, 77.5) 7-17 -22.36 28.86 5.26 1.06 -9.08
3 H Colorado St ( 2-11, 64.4) 49-21 -35.45 15.77 -5.26 1.06 22.33
3 A Utah St ( 7- 7, 75.5) 25-24 -24.37 26.85 5.26 1.06 68.24
3 H UNLV ( 8- 5, 75.5) 38-21 -24.41 26.81 -5.26 1.06 45.80
------
348.83
|
winning pts = 379.8051 losing points = -30.9761
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------